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🇦🇿 Sea Breeze Resort — Baku

Caspian-coast master-planned resort (Agalarov Development, Nardaran). Independent yield snapshot: 144 real sale listings (emlak.az + bina.az + yeniemlak.az + vipemlak.az) + Booking nightly ADR. Freehold; AZN→USD ≈ 1.70.

Early data · development-level · directional
Apartment / Condo
5.6% net
P75 7.2% · gross 10.5%
ADR $140/night · price $218,235 · rent n=20 sale n=138
Villa
9.1% net
P75 9.8% · gross 16.0%
ADR $257/night · price $264,411 · rent n=4 sale n=6

Net = gross × (1 − operator 25%) × (1 − tax 14%) − opex/price · occupancy 45% blended (highly seasonal Caspian resort) · Azerbaijan flat 14% withholding.

Apartment / Condo yield by bedroom

BedsADR medPrice medNet medNet P75n rent/sale
1BR$137$121,76510.8%12.0%14/39
2BR$144$187,7656.9%7.6%4/47

Shown only where both rent and sale reach n≥3. Sea Breeze is a single development, so there is no district axis — sub-complexes (Park Residences, Lighthouse…) differ on the sale side but not on rent.

Sale snapshot

TypeMedian m²Median price$/m²Listings
Apartment / Condo98 m²$218,235$2,300138
· 1BR55 m²$121,765$2,40139
· 2BR95 m²$187,765$2,10047
· 3BR138 m²$326,797$2,35045
· 4-5BR182 m²$473,460$2,6005
· 6+BR275 m²$375,000$1,2852 thin
Villa260 m²$264,4116

Source: emlak.az + bina.az + yeniemlak.az + vipemlak.az (144 listings, cross-source deduped). Villas = emlak slug-tagged houses only; bina towers (location 380) are all apartments. Entry apartments from ~$99K; ~$1,290–2,580/m².

Finish & provenance — bina.az, n=66

DimensionSplit
FinishBare / white-box (черновая) 71%  ·  renovated / turnkey (под ключ) 29%
ProvenancePrimary / developer stock — all listings have no title deed yet, every unit under a Sea Breeze sales company

bina.az's Sea Breeze pages are the developer's own sales channel — companies "Sea Breeze / Prime Residence / Palm Beach…", and çıxarış (title deed) = yoxdur on all 66 → these are primary units (sold по договору). Secondary / owner resale lives on the classifieds: a sample of emlak.az listings carried title deeds (Çıxarış/Kupça) on most — i.e. titled resale — while vipemlak·yeniemlak only mention finish in free text (not structurally exposed). So primary-vs-secondary ≈ bina (developer) vs the classifieds (owners). Sea Breeze is a young build, so ~71% of this primary stock is handed over bare-shell — finish is the buyer's added cost. Flags: bina.az hasRepair / hasBillOfSale / company; emlak.az Sənədin tipi.

Rental snapshot

TypeADR medianADR P75Sea Breeze listings
Apartment / Condo$140$17420
Villa$257$2754

Source: Booking.com (Sea Breeze-filtered). Airbnb excluded — its geocoder returns central Baku, not the resort.

Sale by sub-complex ($/m²)

Sea Breeze sub-complexUnitsMedian m²Median price$/m²
Palm Beach4159 m²$510,545$3,175
Polo Residences7127 m²$329,000$2,750
Port d'Azur351 m²$131,940$2,585
Prime Residence1890 m²$234,411$2,476
Park Residences 2558 m²$138,235$2,383
Lighthouse1995 m²$205,750$2,300
Palazzo del Mare11109 m²$243,980$2,300
Malibu Residence2 thin93 m²$215,515$2,218
Marina Village11124 m²$251,176$1,986
Park Residences3297 m²$194,425$1,925
Park Residences 42 thin48 m²$71,176$1,512
Park Lane335 m²$52,941$1,445

bina.az + yeniemlak.az + vipemlak.az listings grouped by branded sub-complex (sale-side only — there is no per-complex rental split). Sub-complexes are the nearest thing to "districts" inside a single resort. Complexes flagged thin have n=2 — shown for coverage; treat $/m² as indicative.

The read

A Sea Breeze apartment (median ~$218,235, $2,300/m²) at a $140/night resort rate and a conservative 45% blended occupancy pencils to ~5.6–7.2% net; villas (median ~$264,411) land ~9.1–9.8%. That sits just below the developer's "8% yield" headline — the gap is occupancy and ADR optimism, not a different market.

Caveats, stated plainly. 144 real sale listings (emlak.az + bina.az + yeniemlak.az + vipemlak.az, cross-source deduped); 20 Sea-Breeze rental records on Booking (Airbnb excluded — geocoder returns central Baku). The resort is highly seasonal (summer >80% / winter <25%) so the figure is very occupancy-sensitive. Treat as directional.

Methodology. Sale: emlak.az + bina.az + yeniemlak.az + vipemlak.az static listings (real per-unit prices), cross-source deduped on (price, beds, size). Rent: Booking.com nightly, filtered to Sea Breeze / Nardaran. Yield: ADR×365×occ÷price for gross; net after operator split, Azerbaijan 14% withholding, capital-scaled opex. Development-level (apartment vs villa) — sample too thin for submarket × bed crosstabs.

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